The rally that’s helped Pakistan stocks
trounce the rest of the world in the past three months is not done yet,
according to one brokerage.
Large investors, including mutual funds and
insurers, are expected to jump in as double-digit returns from fixed income have
begun to ebb away, A.A.H Somro, managing director at Khadim Ali Shah Bukhari
Securities Pvt. said in an interview.
Pakistan’s KSE-100 Index has advanced to the highest
level in seven months, after falling to the lowest in almost five years in
August, amid attempts by the government to stabilize the economy with a $6
billion loan from the International Monetary Fund after a deficit blowout. At
the same time, bond yields have begun to fall after peaking around 14%
mid-year, making debt investments less attractive.
Out-performers
Pakistan stocks surge on government's steps to
stabilize economy
*NOTE: DATA TILL NOVEMBER 19 AFTER ASIAN
MARKETS CLOSING
“Banks are rethinking their strategy. They
have to look at riskier assets now,” said Somro, who spent about a decade as a
fund manager at companies including Tundra Fonder AB. “So, the stock market is
a tempting bet.”
With stocks trading at overbought levels, it’s
probably inevitable there’s a pause for breath, Somro said. The rally will
resume as more investors come in. The KSE-100 fell on Wednesday after five
straight days of gains.
Foreign investors have bought $64 million of
the nation’s stocks this year, set for the first annual inflow since 2014.
Their purchases will gather pace February after the nation’s next review by the
Financial Action Task Force, Somro said.
Pakistan made just enough development on global
anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing standards in October to
escape being placed on a blacklist. Still, the watchdog asked the nation to
complete its action plan by February.
London-based Oxford Frontier Capital bought about a
40% stake in KASB Securities to relaunch the brand that was once the largest
domestic brokerage in Pakistan. U.K.-based Sturgeon Capital also acquired a
minor stake in KASB earlier this year.
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